Political Scientists are casting doubt on a poll claiming that Ted Cruz is tied with a Democrat for his seat.
“Nobody who looks at the record of polling and election results can plausibly look at this and say this tells us what the race will look like on Election Day,” Jim Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, told The Dallas Morning News. “Democrats almost always tend to poll better in modern Texas in the spring than they actually earn votes” on Election Day.
He wasn’t the only one.
Further, this poll has Valdez & O’Rourke winning Independents (@WPAIntel polling has Cruz & Abbott winning big with them). Looks like a fanciful full-turnout poll in CA (rather than TX) to me. 2/2
— Chris Wilson (@WilsonWPA) April 18, 2018