A new poll from the Democracy Insitute has President Trump winning big.
NEW POLL: Trump beating Biden NATIONALLY and in Key Battleground States
FL, IA, MI, MN, PA, WI:
â€” Benny (@bennyjohnson) October 4, 2020
The monthly Democracy Institute Sunday Express poll for the Presidential election shows that Mr Trump is still on course for victory with 46 percent of the popular support compared to his Democrat rival Joe Bidenâ€™s 45 percent.
However, his overall lead has dropped by two points since the last poll in September.
The poll was completed after the news broke that President Trump and his wife Melania have been infected by Covid-19.
But 68 percent said the illness would not affect their vote while 19 percent said they were â€œmore likelyâ€ to support Trump and only 13 percent â€œless likelyâ€.
Almost two thirds said they felt sympathy and concern for the President while 38 percent said him getting the disease was â€œkarmaâ€ in an indication of the current divisive nature of US politics.
Crucially, Mr Trumpâ€™s lead in key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin remains at 4 percent by 47 percent 43 percent.
This gives a projected Electoral College split of 320 to Trump and 218 to Biden.
While other polls have Biden ahead, the Democracy Institute, which correctly predicted Brexit and Trumpâ€™s win in 2016, only considers people who identify as â€œlikely votersâ€ rather than all registered voters and also asks about the so called shy vote.
Trump also tweeted this poll out:
â€” Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 4, 2020
I have to say that my gut reaction to what is going to happen in 2020 is the result of this poll. If you don’t pay attention to the Mainstream Media. If you don’t pay attention to the fake polls this is how you would predict the election.
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