Some research done by Breitbart news exposed a Chinese Coronavirus model cited by the White House drastically overstated the number of hospitalizations from Chinese Coronavirus.
Actual Hospitalizations for Coronavirus Significantly Lower than Projections in Model https://t.co/tmz595UVDY
— Patricia Dickson (@Patrici15767099) April 4, 2020
Here is a breakdown of the actual number of cumulative hospitalizations reported by these nine states as of April 2, as compared to the number of regular hospital beds projected for coronavirus patients in those states on April 2 by the IHME model:
Colorado: Cumulative hospitalizations of 710 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 3,141 = 23 percent.
Ohio: Cumulative hospitalizations of 802 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,436 = 33 percent
Tennessee: Cumulative hospitalizations of 263 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,741 = 9 percent
Texas: Cumulative hospitalizations of 196 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 1,968 = 10 percent
New York: Cumulative hospitalizations of 20,817 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 56,183 = 37 percent
Florida: Cumulative hospitalizations of 1,215 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 2,612 = 47 percent
Georgia: Cumulative hospitalizations of 1,158 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 3,089 = 37 percent
Iowa: Cumulative hospitalizations of 138 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 384 = 36 percent
Minnesota: Cumulative hospitalizations of 156 divided by regular hospital bed projections of 823 = 19 percent
Notably, the IHME model’s current projections of COVID-19 deaths as of April 2 is in line with the actual number of reported deaths on that date.
This is why we can’t solely rely on models. If we governed by these models we would always be doing the wrong thing. Models are a good start but things change and the models must reflect those changes.
This also should warn us about Climate Change hysteria. Climate Change hysteria is entirely based on models. Imagine if we made our policies off the Climate Change models and they ended up being this wrong. Actually, we don’t have to imagine it because that is exactly what the Green New Deal is.
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