A new poll, that is touted as the “gold-standard” of Iowa polls has great news for President Trump.
It has him up seven points:
IOWA
Trump 48% (+7)
Biden 41%@jaselzer/@DMRegister, LV, 10/26-29— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 31, 2020
Which is the same lead he had four years ago:
🚨🚨 HUGE 🚨🚨
President @realDonaldTrump LEADS Joe Biden in Iowa in FINAL Des Moines Register poll by +7!!!
This is the SAME lead he had in the SAME poll 4 years ago before VICTORY‼ï¸https://t.co/QH7H9Rhu5T
— Kayleigh McEnany (@kayleighmcenany) November 1, 2020
Which foreshadowed him winning in other must-win states:
Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That’s the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump’s Midwestern sweephttps://t.co/bIOVhFRaQh— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 31, 2020
It found Biden’s lead with independents is shrinking big time:
“In the Register’s September Iowa Poll, Biden led with independents 50% to 38%. But today, Trump wins them back and leads 49% to 35%.” https://t.co/KX2FxQh38h
— Abby D. Phillip (@abbydphillip) October 31, 2020
It shows Biden has lost significant ground with women:
“Biden has lost ground with women. In September, he held a 20-point lead among women, which balanced out Trump’s 21-point lead among men. But today, Biden’s lead with women has shrunk to 9 percentage points, 50% to 41%.†https://t.co/BKAxg9hHkD
— Holly Otterbein (@hollyotterbein) November 1, 2020
This is likely holding true in other must-win states:
Milwaukee, Republican female turnout in early voting is much, much stronger than 2016, when Trump struggled in the Wisconsin suburbs. Ironically, it may be suburban Republican women who carry Trump across the finish line in Wisconsin.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 1, 2020
Selzer is not alone, and Iowa is not an anomaly.
In Arizona, Maricopa suburban women solidified Trump’s lead in our polling. Suburban women in Kenosha strengthened the president in Wisconsin. https://t.co/FWkdCJeMJX
— Peoples_Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) November 1, 2020
Iowa not an anomaly. Women moving to Trump: https://t.co/3JAnzKvAdj
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 1, 2020
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