According to a new CNN Poll, Joe Biden is the current favorite for winning the Democratic primary if he ran.
The first @CNN numbers for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination just released this morning:
Biden 33%
Sanders 13%
Harris 9%
Warren 8%
Booker 5%
Kerry 5%
Bloomberg 4%
O’Rourke 4%
Holder 3%
Garcetti 2%
Avenatti 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Patrick 1%
Bullock <1%
Delaney <1%— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) October 14, 2018
Although on the surface this looks like a big lead looking at this same Poll from 2014 you notice that Hillary was far more likely at that time.
Here’s what the @CNN polling looked like in November 2014 –>
Clinton 65%
Warren 10%
Biden 9%
Sanders 5%
Cuomo 1%
Patrick 1%
Webb 1%
O’Malley <1%— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) October 14, 2018
The same Poll in 2014 on the Republican side didn’t even list Trump as a possible candidate.
Here’s what the @CNN polling looked like in November 2014 on the Republican side –>
Romney 20%
Carson 10%
Bush 9%
Christie 8%
Huckabee 7%
Paul 6%
Ryan 6%
Cruz 5%
Walker 5%
Perry 4%
Rubio 3%
Kasich 2%
Santorum 2%
Jindal 1%
Pence 1%
Portman <1%No Trump.
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) October 14, 2018
The bottom line is that Politics changes too quickly for anyone to accurately predict who will run against Trump in 2020.
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