A Poll conducted by CNN showcases bad news for the supposed blue wave coming in 2018.
About six months out from Election Day, 47% of registered voters say they back the Democratic candidate in their district, 44% back the Republican. Voters also are divided almost evenly over whether the country would be better off with the Democrats in control of Congress (31%) or with the GOP in charge (30%). A sizable 34% — including nearly half of independent voters (48%) — say it doesn’t matter which party controls Congress.
Enthusiasm for Republicans is also up
The party’s advantage has waned among enthusiastic voters as Republican enthusiasm has grown (in March, 36% of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters said they were very enthusiastic about voting; that’s up to 44% in the new poll), but the Democrats still have a double-digit lead among those most excited to vote this fall (53% of those who are very enthusiastic about voting say they’d back the Democrat in their district vs. 41% who say they favor the GOP candidate). Those enthusiastic voters also say by a 10-point margin that the nation would be better off with Democrats in control of Congress than Republicans.
By 48% to 43%, registered voters say they would rather back a candidate who opposes Donald Trump than one who supports the President. That margin has narrowed from the 52% who opposed Trump to the 41% who supported him in January.
Trump’s approval’s on key issues is also continuing to rise.
LAST POLL to NEW POLL
Economy: 48% to 52%
Foreign Trade: 39% to 43%
Foreign affairs: 38% to 42%
Immigration: 36% to 40%
History has shown that the Democrats need at least a 5 point advantage on the generic congressional ballot to have a chance at taking control of the House in 2018.