Nevada is now in play for President Trump to win in the 2020 election.
New @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NVpoll conducted 10/28-29 &released exclusively tonight on @IngrahamAngle shows shrinking Biden lead:
0.9% Und. See Report: https://t.co/11lT7GHrHB pic.twitter.com/RkDwFVRpqG
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) October 30, 2020
Early voting data shows they have a chance. Nevadans have three ways to vote this year: mail ballots, early voting and in person on Nov 3. Results aren’t released until the evening of Election Day, but information voting demographics is available. This allows you to know how many Democrats, Republicans and independents have cast ballots. Unless one candidate is doing terribly with his own party, this provides a rough idea of how the election is going.
As of Thursday afternoon, 43,600 more Democrats than Republicans had voted. The breakdown by party affiliation was 40.6 percent Democrat, 35.8 percent Republican and 23.6 percent independents and third parties. All data is from the secretary of state’s website.
In many ways, this is expected. As of September, Democrats had around 90,000 more registered voters than Republicans. Usually, Democrats build up a big lead in early voting and then try to survive on Election Day.
This year, there were even more reasons to anticipate an early Democrat surge. National Democrats urged voters to use mail ballots and return them early. That happened here. Democrats have a 113,800 lead in ballots returned by mail voting. Republicans have a 70,200 lead among those voting at the polls.
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